BKC Aggregators: Transforming Lives, One Farmer at a Time

  Image Source: Multi Model Ensemble A Well-marked low-pressure area formed over South-East Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify further into a Depression by today evening. It is predicted to move towards West Northwest direction for next 2 days. This depression is likely to intensify further into a Deep Depression by tomorrow over South-East and adjoining South-West Bay of Bengal. There have been 2 different predictions: 1.   As per ECMWF forecast, this system should intensify and move closer to North Tamil Nadu and South AP coast by 02nd December. Hence, it will hit North Chennai as a Deep Depression in coming 2 days and cross coast near South AP and moving northward. If this happens, many areas of Tamil Nadu, Chennai, Puducherry, Coastal Andhra Pradesh shall receive extremely heavy rainfall in coming 2-3 days. 2.   Whereas GFS is taking a recurve by passing through the coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and taking it to North Bay of Bengal. According to BKC Aggregators, t

The pollution issue in Delhi-NCR rises every year around October-November. The primary cause of this is farmers in Punjab and Haryana burning their stubble. This year, around 54% high-pitched reduction in stubble burning has been noticed in the country. But in Punjab, recently the number of incidents of stubble burning are rising day by day as the harvesting of paddy is peaking up. The Punjab Pollution Control Board (PPCB) has reported that more pollution rise is recorded in the state after Dussehra.                As per reports, 589 incidents of stubble burning were reported in Punjab on October 26, the highest number of stubble burning occurrences recorded in a single day. According to sources, this year a total of 6284 instances of stubble burning were recorded in Punjab till October 30. Although there have been lesser instances of stubble burning in the fields this year compared to previous, numerous incidences are still being reported. According to a NASA report, the smoke from P

The dry spell over southern regions like Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Kerala especially Andhra Pradesh and Telangana, during post monsoon (southwest) season in October has resulted in decrease of the soil moisture affecting the standing crops as well as upcoming rabi crops. After the twin cyclonic systems over Arabian Sea and BOB had caused in delay of onset of the northeast monsoon, it has finally entered the southern peninsular regions. This is indeed a great relief to the farmers. Let us see how Northeast Monsoon is going to show its effect and Favour the farmers over the regions. (Image source: IMD) Weather Outlook: An upper air Cyclonic Circulation over Comorin Sea is likely to bring widespread rains over southern areas of Tamil Nadu. Additionally, trough in Easterlies likely to reach Tamil Nadu coast in couple of days and Widespread rains are expected likely from Thursday over Coastal Tamil Nadu & Chennai. Kanchipuram, Chennai, Puducherry, Nagapattinam, Ramanathapuram, Vilattikul

  This year, Andhra Pradesh has marked 13% deficient rainfall, during the southwest monsoon season with an approximate 454.6mm rainfall from June-September. In October, the state has received only 13.7mm of rainfall compared to the normal 126.9mm, with all 26 districts recording rainfall deficits ranging from 85% to 99%. Only a few districts like Krishna, palnadu and manyam has received isolated rainfall, but still had significant deficiency. The twin cyclonic systems over Arabian Sea and BOB had caused in delay of onset of the northeast monsoon. The dry spell resulted in decrease of the soil moisture effecting the standing crops as well as upcoming rabi crops. Farmers are bothered about the yield of paddy, pulses and other kharif crops, estimating that the yield could be decreased than last year. Fig: Rainfall Forecast Map The first active spell of Northeast monsoon is expected to start from 28 th October and continue till first week of November. Various parts of Coastal AP and Tam

  Fig: Rainfall Forecast Map Rainfall Outlook: Southeast Bay of Bengal is currently under the Cyclonic Circulation over the neighbouring Andaman Sea and Southeast Bay of Bengal. Over the period of next 48 hours, a low-pressure area is expected to emerge over the central regions of the Bay of Bengal as it moves north-westward. This north-west movement of the CC furtherly with a Low-Pressure-Area could possibly result in a wet weather conditions over Coastal AP and Odisha. There is a good chance of isolated heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and lightning over coastal Odisha, Yanam, and north coastal Andhra Pradesh around 23-24rth October. Coastal regions of Andhra Pradesh like Visakhapatnam, Vizayanagaram, Kakinada, Krishna, Guntur etc., are expected to receive widespread rain around 23-25 October. Regions like Bhubaneshwar, Sambalpur, Balasore etc., are also anticipated to receive heavy rainfall during the period. The Cyclonic System is expected to reach up to Odisha coast and may result

  Fig: Weather forecast Map.          Weather outlook: The following two days will likely see the Southwest Monsoon withdrawal from more areas of Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Karnataka, and the remaining portions of Telangana, Maharashtra, and the Central Arabia Sea. An east-west oriented trough over the extreme south peninsular and a cyclonic circulation that is associated with it will produce light to moderate rainfall over interior Karnataka around 16 th October. Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal and Kerala-Mahe are also anticipated to experience isolated heavy rainfall along with thunderstorms and lightning from 14-16 October. For the next five days, mild to moderate rain is expected in Northeast India like Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal due to a cyclonic circulation over the region. Snow or light to moderate rainfall along with thunderstorms and lightning is expected over Kashmir-Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad,

  This year, paddy has been sown in estimated 412 lakh hectares, 2% more than the last year. This is leading to building up of arrival pressure and lower prices. Government’s ban of rice exports and implementation of MEP, has restricted miller purchases.  Exploitation in Fatehabad Mandi: In Fatehabad Mandi, traders and millers are acting unfairly adding up to farmer’s miseries. Ram Jatt Bharati, a member of Kisan Union Kethi Bachao , stated that the millers and dealers of Fatehabad have united and had taken a secret oath ( lota namak kasam ) to buy the paddy only at MSP. In a meeting held on 28 th September at Fatehabad Mandi , an agreement on following points emerged: The paddy which are in pile stocks are to be bought first. Each miller should buy only ten thousand bags of paddy on MSP, in the first term. After every miller gets ten thousand bags, the second term will be started. If any miller buys the paddy at more price than MSP, they will be fined with one lakh rupees. The col

  As this year’s monsoon is affected by EL Nino, India has received deficient rainfalls over many regions, including South Indian states like Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, Tamilnadu etc. Crops like paddy, Maize, cotton, groundnut and pulses had been severely affected due to the deficient rains, across many regions of these states. After the August dry spell, September month had brought some welcoming monsoon showers, with relieving light-moderate rainfalls. The monsoon is expected to last over these regions for one more week.   Rainfall Forecast and Agri Advisory to Farmers: Fig 1: AP Rainfall Forecast Map Andhra Pradesh: Coastal Andhra regions Vizag, Anakapalli, Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, konaseema, yanam, East. Godavari, West. Godavari etc., are likely to receive light-moderate rainfall for next 4-5 days. Vijayawada, Palnadu, Guntur, Prakasam, Eluru, Rajahmundry, Kakinada, Krishna, Bapatla, are also expected to receive light-moderate showers during next 2-3 days. Southern

  As this year’s monsoon is affected by EL Nino, India has received deficient rainfalls over many regions, including Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. Crops like paddy, Maize, cotton, groundnut and pulses had been severely affected due to the deficient rains, across many regions of these states. After the August dry spell, September month had brought some welcoming monsoon showers, with some relieving light-moderate rainfalls. The monsoon is expected to last over these regions till first week of October. Let us see how the final monsoon acts over these states during next 4-5 days .   Fig: Rainfall Forecast Map   Rainfall forecast: Southern Andhra Pradesh and Northern Tamilnadu has been forecast with moderate-heavy rainfalls for rest of the month. In southern AP, regions like Chittoor, Satya Sai, Tirupati, Annamayya has been forecast with moderate-heavy rainfalls from September 28- October 1. Anantapur, YSR Cuddappah, Nellore, Prakasam, Guntur, Palnadu districts may also receive

    उत्तर-पश्चिम भारत पर एक प्रति-चक्रवात प्रवाह विकसित हो रहा है, और दक्षिण-पश्चिम राजस्थान के कुछ हिस्सों में शुष्क मौसम बन रहा है, जो मानसून की वापसी का संकेत दे रहा है। अनुमान है कि धीरे-धीरे मानसून पश्चिमी राजस्थान से शुरू होकर देश से विदा हो जाएगा। आइए भारत के कुछ क्षेत्रों में अंतिम मानसून पैटर्न देखें, और किसानों को फसल क्षति से बचने के लिए कुछ उपाय सुझाएं।     राजस्थान: दक्षिण-पश्चिम राजस्थान के कुछ हिस्सों में शुष्क मौसम की उम्मीद है, जो 1-2 दिनों में पश्चिमी राजस्थान से मॉनसून की वापसी के लिए अनुकूल है। इस प्रणाली के परिणामस्वरूप पश्चिमी राजस्थान में शुष्क स्थिति है, लेकिन दक्षिण-पूर्वी राजस्थान में अभी भी अगले 2-3 दिनों तक हल्की-मध्यम बारिश होने की उम्मीद है। मूंग और बाजरे की कटाई परिपक्व फलियों को उठाकर अच्छी तरह से ढककर करनी चाहिए। मूंगफली की फलियों की जांच पौधे को उखाड़कर करनी चाहिए और यदि 80% से अधिक फलियां पक गई हों तो फसल काट लें। किसानों को रबी सरसों की बुआई के लिए खेत की तैयारी करने की सलाह दी जाती है। शुष्क क्षेत्रों में 4-5 किलोग्राम बीज दर की सिफारिश

 An anti-cyclonic flow is developing over Northwest India, and creating dry weather over parts of Southwest Rajasthan, indicating the withdrawal of monsoon. It is Anticipated that slowly, the monsoon will be leaving the country, starting from Western Rajasthan. Let us see the final monsoon patterns in some regions of India and suggest farmers with some measures to avoid crop damage. Rajasthan: Dry weather is expected over parts of Southwest Rajasthan which is favoring the Monsoon Withdrawal from Western Rajasthan in 1-2 days. This system results in dry condition in Western Rajasthan, but the Southeast Rajasthan is still expected to receive light-moderate showers for next 2-3 days. Harvesting of moong and bajra should be done, by picking up the mature pods and cover them properly. Legumes of ground nut should be checked by uprooting the plant and if more than 80% of the legumes are ripe, then harvest the crop. Farmers are advised to do field preparation for sowing of rabi Mustard. S