Fig.1: Southwest Monsoon Prediction ( Source:IMD ) Current Situation A cyclonic circulation persists over South Tamil Nadu and adjoining Sri Lanka, moving eastwards. This system is expected to form a low-pressure area over the southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining regions of South Tamil Nadu and North Sri Lanka within the next 24-48 hours. Forecast and Developments Cyclonic Activity: The low-pressure area is likely to intensify into a depression within the next 1-2 days. It has the potential to strengthen into a cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal. The system may reach the northwest Bay of Bengal near the Odisha coast as a severe cyclonic storm in the next 4-5 days. Projected landfall is between Srikakulam (Andhra Pradesh) and Ganga Sagar (West Bengal), near the central Odisha coast, likely as a severe or very severe cyclonic storm. Fig.2: Cyclonic Circulation over Coastal Tamil Nadu ( Source:Windy, ECMWF Forecast ) Rainfall: South India: Heavy to very...
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