BKC Aggregators: Transforming Lives, One Farmer at a Time

Fig. 1: Rain Activities over many regions of Tamil Nadu Current Situation A cyclonic circulation persisting over South Tamil Nadu and adjoining Sri Lanka. This system is moving eastwards, expected to form a low-pressure area over the southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining regions of South Tamil Nadu and North Sri Lanka within the next 24-48 hours. Forecast and Developments Cyclonic Activity: The low-pressure area is likely to intensify into a depression within the next 1-2 days and potentially strengthen into a cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal. It may reach the northwest Bay of Bengal near the Odisha coast as a severe cyclonic storm in the next 4-5 days. Landfall is projected between Srikakulam (Andhra Pradesh) and Ganga Sagar (West Bengal), near the central Odisha coast, likely as a severe or very severe cyclonic storm.   Rainfall: South India: Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected over the Kerala Ghats of Tamil Nadu and Kerala, south Tamil Nadu, an...

  Image Source: Multi Model Ensemble A Well-marked low-pressure area formed over South-East Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify further into a Depression by today evening. It is predicted to move towards West Northwest direction for next 2 days. This depression is likely to intensify further into a Deep Depression by tomorrow over South-East and adjoining South-West Bay of Bengal. There have been 2 different predictions: 1.   As per ECMWF forecast, this system should intensify and move closer to North Tamil Nadu and South AP coast by 02nd December. Hence, it will hit North Chennai as a Deep Depression in coming 2 days and cross coast near South AP and moving northward. If this happens, many areas of Tamil Nadu, Chennai, Puducherry, Coastal Andhra Pradesh shall receive extremely heavy rainfall in coming 2-3 days. 2.   Whereas GFS is taking a recurve by passing through the coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and taking it to North Bay of Bengal. Ac...