Projection of Rainfall Forecast & Cyclone Probability in India during September-October 2023

Fig 1: Rainfall forecast for next 4 weeks

Ø The cyclonic system is lying in Central Odisha and the regions adjoining Chattisgarh.

Ø There is a high probability that this cyclonic system moves into the Central India i.e., Central parts of Madhya Pradesh in coming 2 days.

Ø As a result, there are high chances of heavy rains in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Bihar and Chattisgarh.

Ø Moderate to heavy widespread rains are expected in Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, some parts of Kerala,Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in next 5-6 days.

Ø From September 15-21, there is probability of the cyclonic system moving towards Bay of Bengal.

Ø This system over BOB may lead to heavy rainfall in West Bengal, coastal areas of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, some regions of Telangana.

Ø BySeptember 20-21, the cyclonic system is expected to move into the southcentral region, towards Maharashtra from BOB.

Ø This system may bring heavy rainfalls over Maharashtra, and moderate to heavy falls over Madhya Pradesh and Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand.

Ø From September 22-28, the probability of the cyclonic system over East India is very low.

Ø The downpours are gradually expected to decrease in Coastal Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh.

Ø Moderate widespread rains are likely to be over West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar, whereas, North-eastern states like Assam, Meghalaya may experience isloated rainfalls.

Ø Coming to the fourth week, i.e. September 29-October 5, the intensity and the coverage of rainfall is forecasted to be less and isolated.

Ø Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, some parts of Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra may experience isolated low rainfalls.

Fig 2: forecast of Rainfall in September

Fig 3: forecast of Rainfall in October

Conclusion:

Ø The overall rainfall status of India in the month of September is forecasted to be below normal level in maximum number of regions like Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat etc,.

Ø Southern regions like Kerala, Tamilnadu, Karnataka and some parts of Maharashtra, along with some North-eastern regions like Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh are likely to receive rainfall above the normla level.

Ø Whereas in the october month, the rainfall is expected to be below the normal level in region like Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh etc,. and above-normal level is expected in states like coastal Karnataka, some regions of Rajasthan and Punjab, North-eastern states and some regions of Bihar and Jharkhand.

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कृषि क्षेत्र मे महिलाओं का योगदान

आज महिलाएं हर जगह हर क्षेत्र में अव्वल स्थान पर है चाहे वो घर का काम हो या बाहर का काम वह दोनों चीजों में सामंजस्य बैठा के आगे बढ़ रही है और हर चीज़ को अच्छे से संभाल रही है। वह पुरुषों के साथ कदम से कदम मिलाकर चल रही है ऐसा कोई क्षेत्र नहीं जहाँ उन्होंने अपना नाम रोशन न किया हो। बात की जाए कृषि क्षेत्र की , कृषि क्षेत्र में जितना योगदान पुरुषों का है उतना ही योगदान महिलाओं का भी है । भारत की लगभग 70 फीसदी आबादी ग्रामीण इलाकों में रहती है जिनके आय का जरिया खेती से ही निकलता है। घरेलू कार्य के साथ साथ वह खेत का सारा कार्य अच्छे से संभालती है। अनेक कार्य जैसे पौधों को रोपना , बीज लगाना फसलों की कटाई आदि कामों में वह निपुण हैं साथ ही साथ अन्य कार्य जैसे पशुपालन , मुर्गी पालन , मधुमक्खी पालन आदि को भी वे बड़ी बखूबी से निभाती हैं अन्य कार्य जैसे दूध घी एवं दही बनाना , आचार एवं चटनी , पापड़ आदि बनाने से वह आमदनी अंकित कमाती हैं और घर संभालती हैं। आज के समय में वह नई तकनीकों को सीखकर अच्छा पैसा और काम दोनों कमा रही हैं और अपना योगदान कृषि में बखूबी दे रही है । कृषि क्षेत्र में महिलाओ

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