Skip to main content

Projection of Rainfall Forecast & Cyclone Probability in India during September-October 2023


Fig 1: Rainfall forecast for next 4 weeks

Ø  The cyclonic system is lying in Central Odisha and the regions adjoining Chattisgarh.

Ø  There is a high probability that this cyclonic system moves into the Central India i.e., Central parts of Madhya Pradesh in coming 2 days.

Ø  As a result, there are high chances of heavy rains in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Bihar and Chattisgarh.

Ø  Moderate to heavy widespread rains are expected in Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, some parts of Kerala,Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in next 5-6 days.

Ø  From September 15-21, there is probability of the cyclonic system moving towards Bay of Bengal.

Ø  This system over BOB may lead to heavy rainfall in West Bengal, coastal areas of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, some regions of Telangana.

Ø  BySeptember 20-21, the cyclonic system is expected to move into the southcentral region, towards Maharashtra from BOB.

Ø  This system may bring heavy rainfalls over Maharashtra, and  moderate to heavy falls over Madhya Pradesh and Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand.

Ø  From September 22-28, the probability of the cyclonic system over East India is very low.

Ø  The downpours are gradually expected to decrease in Coastal Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh.

Ø  Moderate widespread rains are likely to be over West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar, whereas, North-eastern states like Assam, Meghalaya may experience isloated rainfalls.

Ø  Coming to the fourth week, i.e. September 29-October 5, the intensity and the coverage of  rainfall is forecasted to be less and isolated.

Ø  Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, some parts of Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra may experience isolated low rainfalls.

Fig 2: forecast of Rainfall in September 

Fig 3: forecast of Rainfall in October


Ø  The overall rainfall status of India in the month of September is forecasted to be below normal level in maximum number of regions like Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat etc,.

Ø  Southern regions like Kerala, Tamilnadu, Karnataka and some parts of Maharashtra, along with some North-eastern regions like Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh are likely to receive rainfall above the normla level.

Ø  Whereas in the october month, the rainfall is expected to be below the normal level in region like Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh etc,. and above-normal level is expected in states like coastal Karnataka, some regions of Rajasthan and Punjab, North-eastern states and some regions of Bihar and Jharkhand.


Popular posts from this blog

कृषि क्षेत्र मे महिलाओं का योगदान

  आज महिलाएं हर जगह हर क्षेत्र में अव्वल स्थान पर है चाहे वो घर का काम हो या बाहर का काम वह दोनों चीजों में सामंजस्य बैठा के आगे बढ़ रही है और हर चीज़ को अच्छे से संभाल रही है। वह पुरुषों के साथ कदम से कदम मिलाकर चल रही है ऐसा कोई क्षेत्र नहीं जहाँ उन्होंने अपना नाम रोशन न किया हो। बात की जाए कृषि क्षेत्र की , कृषि क्षेत्र में जितना योगदान पुरुषों का है उतना ही योगदान महिलाओं का भी है ।   भारत की लगभग 70 फीसदी आबादी ग्रामीण इलाकों में रहती है जिनके आय का जरिया खेती से ही निकलता है। घरेलू कार्य के साथ साथ वह खेत का सारा कार्य अच्छे से संभालती है। अनेक कार्य जैसे पौधों को रोपना , बीज लगाना फसलों की कटाई आदि कामों में वह निपुण हैं साथ ही साथ अन्य कार्य जैसे पशुपालन , मुर्गी पालन , मधुमक्खी पालन आदि को भी वे बड़ी बखूबी से निभाती हैं अन्य कार्य जैसे दूध घी एवं दही बनाना , आचार एवं चटनी , पापड़ आदि बनाने से वह आमदनी अंकित कमाती हैं और घर संभालती हैं। आज के समय में वह नई तकनीकों को सीखकर अच्छा पैसा और काम दोनों कमा रही हैं और अपना योगदान कृषि में बखूबी दे रही है । कृषि क्षेत्र में महिलाओ

Technology - Advising Farmers and Crop Yield Assesment

Food security in the light of climate change is a global imperative. In developing nations, the problem is exacerbated by variable weather, lack of reliable extension services to optimize yield and fair market access. In India, most farmers do not have access to weather advisory forecasts that are hyper local to their field and timely in nature. As all farming activities are heavily dependent on weather, decisions on application of fertilizers and pesticide, irrigation, and even plucking of fruits & vegetables and harvesting cannot be taken efficiently. In addition, significant crop losses, that are entirely preventable, accrue through adverse weather events. Crop advisory services, where available, are generic and not pegged to a farmer's seed variety, date of sowing, and growing conditions and hence do not dispense timely, actionable advice, directly relevant to a farmer. Likewise, market trends pertinent to their particular crop and location

LOWER POTATO PRODUCTION EXPECTED THIS YEAR IN NORTH INDIA: Inclement Weather in most growing areas be responsible

Potatoes are the most staple diet of India. It is grown in abundance in northern India. Being a staple diet, it is the most grown vegetable in India. The best season to grow potatoes is between October and December.  This year could witness sharp fall in production of Potatoes and prices could remain firm through the season. 2 Major Factors are; Factor1: Low temperatures Winter of 2021-22 has been very harsh in North India for long stretches.  Comparison minimum of temperatures for last 7 years which represents major producing districts can be seen from chart below: Temperatures in 2021-22 have persistently be lower than that of corresponding period in 2020-21 An Ideal temperature for growing potatoes is between 18 and 25 degrees Celsius. Anything lower or higher than this range means the potato growth gets affected. When temperatures drop drastically the potato grows at a slower rate. And this happens due to lower oxidation levels which invariably leads to lessened tubular growth. F