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Showing posts from 2025

Cotton, Soybean Crops Soaked by Monsoon Fury

  Cotton Crop: Delayed Arrivals and Quality Concerns The 2025–26 cotton season is grappling with significant climatic disruptions across key growing regions. Extended rainfall in southern states—Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Karnataka—has adversely affected standing cotton crops and complicated harvest timelines. In Karnataka, districts such as Yadgir, Shahpur, and Jewargi have experienced heavy rainfall over the past 4–5 days, resulting in waterlogging and crop stress. While the full extent of damage remains under assessment, cotton arrivals expected to be delayed. In Maharashtra, the situation is particularly alarming, with relentless rainfall since May leading to the submergence of over 5,100 hectares of cotton fields across talukas such as Malegaon, Nandgaon, Surgana, and Igatpuri. The impact extends beyond cotton, with maize and onion crops also suffering extensive damage. Farmers in these regions are urgently seeking government intervention as damage assessments contin...

La Niña's Icy Grip: Experts Warn of Bitter Winter for north and warm winter for south

  As we move into the final quarter of 2025, climatic signals are pointing to a significant seasonal shift for India. According to the WMO Lead Centre for Long-Range Forecasts, there is an increasing probability of La Niña conditions developing in the coming months. Current estimates indicate a 55% chance of La Niña formation, rising to 60% by October–December. Likely probability of El Niño returning later in December. This change in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase holds important implications for India's weather, particularly in the context of rainfall and temperatures. Let’s break down what this means for India in the coming months. Source: International Research Institute For Climate and Society Temperature Forecast: Source: International Research Institute For Climate and Society Northern and Central India: These regions are expected to experience significantly lower temperature. In Rajasthan, Delhi, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and parts of Maharashtra could face belo...

Heatwaves, Humidity, and Relief: What to Expect from India’s 2025 Summer

May-Jul 2025 Seasonal Temperature forecast issued April 2025   Northern India Faces High Heat Risk Ahead of Monsoon A high heat alert has been issued for key northern states — Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar — with temperatures forecasted to rise well above normal. Weather models suggest a very high likelihood of extreme heat, especially in June, signaling the possibility of a prolonged and intense heatwave across the region. Central India to Experience Mixed Summer Conditions States like Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are expected to see variable summer temperatures, according to the latest forecast. The region shows a moderate probability of above-normal heat, suggesting that while some areas may experience typical seasonal temperatures, others could face warmer-than-usual conditions. Southern India to Stay Warm, But Extreme Heat Unlikely Southern states such as Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and parts of Karnataka are expected to experience above-average tempera...

Rice: Food or Fuel ?

Addressing Surplus Rice Stocks The FCI’s warehouses are currently holding rice stocks that are nearly four times the required buffer stock. The high reserve price previously deterred purchases by ethanol distilleries and state agencies, which has exacerbated the surplus. By lowering the price, the government intends to: Alleviate excess stocks. Encourage more efficient distribution of rice to various stakeholders. Enhance the affordability of raw materials for ethanol production. Stock & Procurement As of Nov 2024, Rice stock is 440.76 LMT, against the buffer norm of 102.50 LMT. Reduction in Reserve Price of Rice under OMSS: A Strategic Step Towards Food Security and Sustainable Energy In a significant move to address the surplus rice stocks and promote sustainable energy, the Indian government has announced a reduction in the reserve price of rice held by the Food Corporation of India (FCI) under the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS). The reserve price has been slashed ...

Government Measures to tame soaring wheat prices

In recent years, wheat prices have soared to unprecedented levels, prompting the government to implement several measures to control the surge. The government had been attempting to initiate the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS) since August; however, it was only successfully launched in December. In the first tender held on December 11, 100,000 tonnes of wheat were offered, out of which 99,815 tonnes were sold. Another tender held on the 26th, an offer of 100,000 tons of wheat was made, out of which 99,465 tons were sold, where another 100,000 tonnes of wheat will be offered on January 1st. The quantity of wheat to be sold under the OMSS is likely to increase in January. Last year, 3.50 lakh tonnes of wheat were sold in the second week of December, whereas this year, not even half of that quantity has been sold so far. More risk-taking traders have remained in the market for a few more weeks, while cautious players have exited at every price rise. Considering the anticipated price in...