Skip to main content

Predict yield before harvest? Yes we can! Technology is here: Case study of Soybean in Dewas 2019.


Through Fasal Salah App, approximately 150,000 Lakh farmers are linked to us on a one to one basis. These farmers are cultivating different crops. The sowing date, variety and agriculture management practices follows by them are received at by us for analytical purposes. Based on these inputs from farmers, yield determining factors like temperature, humidity, sunshine are crunched into a dynamic crop model specially developed for this purpose.  We selected soybean as crop and Dewas of Madhya Pradesh as the area of study.  Dewas is situated between North latitude 22o 17’00” & 23o 20’00” and east longitude 22.962267, 76.050797 and covers 7,020 km sq. area .

Study Area

This study covered about 1200 farmers cultivated soybean who were connected on Fasal Salah App. Through this app farmers received weather basis advisory based on crop physiology of soybean being cultivated in real time. Farmers in farm were providing feedback of management practices being followed by them for application of farm input such as fertilizer, application of pesticides etc.

Besides, farmers also forward their crop pictures on weekly basis which helps us to monitor their crop more precisely. We ran artificial intelligence on the pictures received which fine tunes the crop yield determination by the dynamic model.  It is note worthy that the farmers field are
geo-located as also all the pictures received from them are geo located. This help us in correlating the ground recorded vegetation index with high resolution satellite data (In this case Sentinel-2A and Its NDVI are used). In this process we are able to expand the area of interest beyond the limits of farmers on Fasal Salah App.
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of Dewas district were obtained. Collected GPS coordinates of soybean field were overlaid over calculated NDVI and NDVI values of each field were recorded as training sets. The refined training set data statistics were used for performing maximum likelihood supervised classification based on recorded vegetation data.


With this methodology we have estimated area under soybean in Dewas district for year 2019, to be 3.8 Lakh hectare. The average yield determined by the hybrid of crop model and crop pictures for Dewas district based on input from farmers using our Fasal Salah App came to 813 kg  per hectare thus total yield of soybean in Dewas district expected to be 3,078,000 Quintal in Kharif 2019.

While actual field estimates are yet to come this figure will stand the test of time when official results are posted. 

I would like to remind that this year Dewas experienced some excessive rains. Our calculations take into account such damages because of excessive rains. However what is not accounted for is the damage because of floods.

The innovation  which made our team win The Agriculture Grand Challenge 2019 and was awarded best App for Agriculture by Indian Mobile Congress 2019 ( all Mobile operators of India  form this congress)  is ready to be used  by the  Industry for actionable market intelligence for commodity trading. 

Find out more at: www.bkcaggregators.com
Labels:

Comments

  1. AGRI February 20, 2020 at 9:53 PM

    Informative study about Agriculture Service, helpful for framers!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Christina PorterMarch 12, 2021 at 2:07 AM

    All things held equal, when a stock falls the dividend yield rises. In other words, if you own a company with a massive yield that's rising, you're likely losing money on the underlying stock. Details here: pensionkings.com

    ReplyDelete
  3. John ClarkMarch 24, 2021 at 12:24 AM

    You have a genuine capacity to compose a substance that is useful for us. You have shared an amazing post about Harvest. Much obliged to you for your endeavors in sharing such information with us.
    Post Harvest Biopac Australia packaging

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Technology - Advising Farmers and Crop Yield Assesment

Food security in the light of climate change is a global imperative. In developing nations, the problem is exacerbated by variable weather, lack of reliable extension services to optimize yield and fair market access. In India, most farmers do not have access to weather advisory forecasts that are hyper local to their field and timely in nature. As all farming activities are heavily dependent on weather, decisions on application of fertilizers and pesticide, irrigation, and even plucking of fruits & vegetables and harvesting cannot be taken efficiently. In addition, significant crop losses, that are entirely preventable, accrue through adverse weather events. Crop advisory services, where available, are generic and not pegged to a farmer's seed variety, date of sowing, and growing conditions and hence do not dispense timely, actionable advice, directly relevant to a farmer. Likewise, market trends pertinent to their particular crop and location ...
42 comments
Read more

Rice: Food or Fuel ?

Addressing Surplus Rice Stocks The FCI’s warehouses are currently holding rice stocks that are nearly four times the required buffer stock. The high reserve price previously deterred purchases by ethanol distilleries and state agencies, which has exacerbated the surplus. By lowering the price, the government intends to: Alleviate excess stocks. Encourage more efficient distribution of rice to various stakeholders. Enhance the affordability of raw materials for ethanol production. Stock & Procurement As of Nov 2024, Rice stock is 440.76 LMT, against the buffer norm of 102.50 LMT. Reduction in Reserve Price of Rice under OMSS: A Strategic Step Towards Food Security and Sustainable Energy In a significant move to address the surplus rice stocks and promote sustainable energy, the Indian government has announced a reduction in the reserve price of rice held by the Food Corporation of India (FCI) under the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS). The reserve price has been slashed ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Government Measures to tame soaring wheat prices

In recent years, wheat prices have soared to unprecedented levels, prompting the government to implement several measures to control the surge. The government had been attempting to initiate the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS) since August; however, it was only successfully launched in December. In the first tender held on December 11, 100,000 tonnes of wheat were offered, out of which 99,815 tonnes were sold. Another tender held on the 26th, an offer of 100,000 tons of wheat was made, out of which 99,465 tons were sold, where another 100,000 tonnes of wheat will be offered on January 1st. The quantity of wheat to be sold under the OMSS is likely to increase in January. Last year, 3.50 lakh tonnes of wheat were sold in the second week of December, whereas this year, not even half of that quantity has been sold so far. More risk-taking traders have remained in the market for a few more weeks, while cautious players have exited at every price rise. Considering the anticipated price in...
Post a Comment
Read more